Mavs kick off road trip in Oakland vs. Warriors
Basketball Betting Lines
02/08/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Southwest Division-leading Dallas Mavericks will hit the road for three games starting with Monday's contest against the Golden State Warriors at ORACLE Arena.
Dallas will also visit Denver and Oklahoma City on the road trip, and owns a 16-10 mark outside of Big D this season. It has lost four of its last five games, including Friday's 117-108 setback versus the Minnesota Timberwolves at American Airlines Center.
Dirk Nowitzki finished with 21 points and eight rebounds for the Mavericks, who lost to the Timberwolves for the first time since January 4, 2006. Nowitzki didn't get the start because he was late for shootaround. Jason Terry tallied 20 points, while Rodrigue Beaubois added a season-high 17 points off the bench in defeat.
"We're not going to be good until we play hard," Mavericks head coach Rick Carlisle said. "But look, they shot 55 percent in the first quarter, the second quarter was by far our best when they shot 43 and we did a much better job, more proactive. They shot 60 in the third and 55 in the fourth. Those numbers don't lie. We had another disappointing loss."
Terry has started the last nine games and has scored 20-plus points in six of those for the Mavs, who are an NBA-best 14-4 in games after a loss.
Golden State will try to put the brakes on an eight-game losing streak tonight and will resume a three-game homestand. In a 104-95 setback versus the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday, Corey Maggette scored 24 points and rookie Stephen Curry tallied 23 points for the Warriors, who got 11 points and a career-high 11 boards from Anthony Tolliver.
"Not a good performance by us today, we just didn't look like a team tonight," Warriors coach Don Nelson said. "I had a lot of guys that didn't play well and all at the same time. When you turn the ball over 23 times in this league it makes it pretty hard to stay competitive. There will be nights like this, but we will lick our wounds tomorrow and get ready to play."
Andris Biedrins had 18 rebounds in defeat and Monta Ellis scored 15 points. Nelson is still 11 wins away from breaking Lenny Wilkens all-time record. He is the second-winningest coach in NBA history (1,322), trailing only Wilkens (1,332).
The Warriors, who haven't won since beating New Jersey on January 22, will also host the Los Angeles Clippers and are 9-14 in Oakland this season.
The 2009-10 season series between Dallas and Golden State is tied at a game apiece. These two teams have split the previous 18 encounters.
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Orlando Magic hope to carry the momentum from their big win at Boston into tonight's home tilt versus the New Orleans Hornets at Amway Arena. Orlando posted a 96-89 triumph over the Celtics on Sunday at TD Garden, as
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(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Antonio Spurs face the toughest test of their annual Rodeo Road Trip when they face the defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers at Staples Center tonight. Each year around this time the Spurs hit the road
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Sportsbook Betting Lines
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Why Sports Betting Lines Change
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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