Angels return home to host Orioles
Baseball Betting Lines
07/02/2009 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Angels return home from a six-day road trip in first place in the American League West. The two-time defending division champions will try to stay on top when they start up a four-game series with the Baltimore Orioles tonight at Angel Stadium.
The Angels started their six-game trek trailing Texas by a half-game for the West's top spot, but moved 2 1/2 games in front of the reeling Rangers after winning the first four tests of the jaunt. That lead has since dwindled to a half-game after losing twice to Texas over the past two days.
The Rangers closed the gap with a wild 9-7 victory on Wednesday, with Hank Blalock's two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth inning accounting for the winning margin.
Anaheim fought back from an early six-run deficit and had tied the contest at 7-7 on Juan Rivera's three-run blast with two outs in the top of the ninth. However, Justin Speier (3-2) allowed a leadoff single to Michael Young in the bottom of the frame before serving up Blalock's walkoff blast three batters later.
Torii Hunter came through with a two-run double in the seventh inning to aid the Angels' comeback, while Vladimir Guerrero finished 3-for-4 with a run scored in the loss.
Baltimore is also coming off a frustrating defeat on Wednesday. The Orioles coughed up a four-run ninth-inning lead against Boston, then wound up on the wrong end of a 6-5 decision when the Red Sox' Julio Lugo singled home a run in the top of the 11th inning.
Boston's rally capped a wacky three-game series between the teams. Baltimore lost two of those matchups, but orchestrated the greatest comeback in franchise history on Tuesday. The Orioles overcame a nine-run deficit by scoring 10 times over the seventh and eighth innings for an 11-10 win.
On Wednesday, Baltimore carried a 5-1 lead into the ninth inning before faltering. Reliever Jim Johnson gave up a two-run homer to Kevin Youkilis that pulled Boston within two, then the Red Sox loaded the bases on closer George Sherrill before Rocco Baldelli delivered a game-tying two-RBI single.
The loss spoiled an outstanding start from Orioles rookie Brad Bergesen, who gave up just one run and four hits and struck out six over the first eight innings.
Nick Markakis had a two-run double for Baltimore, which received solo homers from Luke Scott and Ty Wigginton as well.
The Orioles will try to put Wednesday's disappointment behind them as they begin a seven-game West Coast trip tonight. They'll tab Jeremy Guthrie, a winner in his last two starts, to pitch this evening's opener.
Guthrie ended a string of three straight losing starts after yielding one run and three hits over seven innings to down Philadelphia on June 21. He wasn't as effective in Saturday's encounter with Washington, but still managed a victory after giving up three runs over five innings in Baltimore's 5-3 ousting of the Nationals.
For the season, Guthrie is 6-7 with a 5.11 earned run average in 16 starts. Much of the right-hander's troubles have come on the road, where's he compiled a 2-3 record with a subpar 6.96 ERA in six starts.
Guthrie has made four previous appearances, three of which have been starts, against Anaheim and is 1-1 with a 3.47 ERA in those games. He's 1-0 in two visits to Angel Stadium, though, and allowed just four runs (3 earned) over 15 innings pitched there.
John Lackey takes the mound for the Angels and hopes to build off a very encouraging last start. The burly right-hander limited Arizona to one unearned run and struck out nine Diamondbacks over seven innings this past Saturday, although he wound up with a no-decision in an eventual 2-1 Anaheim win.
Lackey has won at least 12 games for the Angels in each of the past six seasons, but is only 2-3 in nine starts this year while missing some time due to an elbow issue. He's also posted a career-worst 5.06 ERA thus far and opponents are hitting .317 against him.
The 30-year-old does own a 6-3 career record with a 3.46 ERA over 10 starts against Baltimore, although he last pitched against the Orioles in 2007.
The Angels swept a two-game series from the Orioles at Camden Yards back in April and went 6-3 against Baltimore last season. The O's are just 4-12 in Anaheim since the start of the 2006 campaign.
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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million
In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.
And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.
Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.
So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.
Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)
The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.
As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.
The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.
In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.
Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.
And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.
So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.
There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.
So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.
And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.
There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)
Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.
Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.
Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.
So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.
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